Tired of hearing about global warming? And you don't need to! NASA experts are talking about global cooling. They count sunspots. The fewer of them, the lower the activity of the star. In May, the celestial disk was absolutely clear for several days. Is it any wonder that you have to freeze?
In history, there have been extreme periods more than once when there were no spots for a very long time and it became really cold.
In the XIV century, the Thames and Seine froze, and in the XVII century, the south of Italy was covered with snow. Historians have called these periods the Little Ice Ages. Is there a third coming? Nature was outrageous in earnest. According to experts, there will be more and more anomalous phenomena every year. And the reason, paradoxical as it may seem, global warming and melting glaciers.
Valery Shematovich, head of research department solar system Institute of Astronomy RAS:
These can be floods, hurricanes, strong cyclones and anticyclones.
Tulips covered with snow and young shoots covered with ice - this spring everyone could feel like a director of their own film about the apocalypse. However, in May, agronomists and summer residents near Moscow had no time for cinema, because they had to cut off cold shoots and uproot frozen trees.
Dmitry Zvonka, forestry engineer:
Many plants will not flower or bear fruit this year. Cherry, cherry plum and apricot in some regions have been particularly affected, so the harvest will be very poor.
Bird-cherry colds are not rare, but lagging behind the climatic norm by 10 degrees happens once every half a century. And so that it lasts more than a week ... An absolute record!
This is a lot. Never before has such a long period been observed. In addition, there has never been a temporary snow cover in May.
There is good news: after the spring that has passed us by, a quite comfortable summer will come. At least that's what the weather forecasters promise.
Roman Vilfand, director of the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia:
Summer is expected to be normal in the European part of the country. According to forecasts, there will be even less rainfall than last year.
Frosts until autumn, most likely, are not expected, because global cooling, if it falls to the ground, will not be very soon. According to meteorologists, this will happen at least in a thousand years.
Svetlana Bushtyreva, "Mood"
Most likely, the year will be fruitful
The saying "Cold May is a year of grain" is true, and in this regard, the cold and wet spring months are a favorable phenomenon. This was stated by the head of the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia Roman Vilfand, adding that this year the grain harvest is likely to be good.
The meteorologist explains that due to the cold May, the earth is saturated with moisture, which benefits the plants. For the planting and growth of spring and winter crops in most regions of the Asian part of Russia, according to Vilfand, “mostly satisfactory results are expected.
However, on some plants, a cold snap will still not have such a beneficial effect, the specialist specified. Stone fruit crops will suffer from spring frosts - in particular, cold weather will negatively affect the harvest of plums, peaches and apricots in the south of the Krasnodar Territory and Adygea.
At the same time, winter crops, for which untimely frosts can also be harmful, fortunately did not suffer as a result of the cold snap. According to Vilfand, in the south of the European part of Russia, frosts were short-term, and in temperate latitudes and Central federal district these cultures by that time did not have time to grow so much that the weather change was dangerous for them.
In general, as the head of the Hydromedical Center of Russia emphasized, cold weather will negatively affect the harvest only in some southern regions of Russia and nowhere else.
Recall yesterday Roman Vilfandthat Muscovites this year are waiting for the so-called "pink" summer, which is characterized by not too a large number of precipitation and temperatures equal to or slightly above normal. Meteorologists call summer “pink” because the expected temperatures on their maps correspond to pink.
Why is it so cold in June? What will summer be like? And why is it so difficult to predict weather changes? We talked about this with Marat Frenkel, head of the Kirov Center for Hydrometeorology and Environmental Monitoring
Marat Frenkel calls the current weather abnormal. Separately, April and May in the Kirov region were cold approximately once every 8-10 years. But for two months in a row to keep frosts, it rained, this is a rarity. Although such weather in the Kirov region has already happened twice in the last hundred years - in 1941 and 1945.
The fact is, explained Marat Osherovich, that in the previous century the so-called west-east transfer prevailed, when air masses moved from west to east. Then our grandmothers could boldly say: “It is warm in Moscow today, in two days it will be warm and it will come to us.”
And now cyclones are coming to us from the North Atlantic, from the Arctic Ocean. Cyclones bring with them strong winds, precipitation and frosts. This alternation has been going on for two months, and it is a rarity for our region.
“Climate change is influenced by a huge number of factors. This is the transfer air masses, and the melting of glaciers, which leads to a change in the temperature of ocean currents, this is both a volcanic eruption and a test nuclear weapons. Human activity also influences. So, a huge amount of greenhouse gases makes the atmosphere opaque to sunlight. Not all of these factors are modeled, and therefore the forecast cannot be 100% accurate,” Marat Frenkel emphasized.
Thus, the monthly forecast made by the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia with the help of modern technology, 70-80 percent accurate. Nizhny Novgorod forecasts the weather for five days, and Kirov for three days.
Forecasts are made strictly on the basis of maps. Let's say the front goes to Moscow: the map shows where the precipitation zone will be, whether Kirov will fall into this zone. And then a calculation is made for each parameter - temperature, precipitation, wind.
So, what will the weather be like in Kirov in summer? Until the end of the week, the region will be at the mercy of the cold front. But in the second half of June, the air will begin to warm up. Yes, June will not be as good as we would like, but July, according to the calculations of the Hydrometeorological Center, promises to be warm. August will be usual for us, and in September, again, according to the calculations of the Hydrometeorological Center, Indian summer will be established for two weeks. Strong winds, hurricanes and thunderstorms are expected in summer. Or maybe hail. This is a typical climate change phenomenon.
The fact that the climate is changing, now no one from scientists doubts. And we, the inhabitants of the planet, also feel the changes. It is getting warmer in Siberia, the south is flooded with rain, and Europe is tormented by heat. The latest data suggests that the winter in the Kirov region has become milder than before, the spring is early, but protracted. All of these are signs of climate change.
And increasingly, scientists are coming to the conclusion that it is possible to control the weather. Instead of spending money on an arms race, one could invest in this complex but important science - meteorology.
Loading...